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Journal of Information Science and Engineering, Vol. 22 No. 4, pp. 751-769 (July 2006)

Drought Forecast Model and Framework Using Wireless Sensor Networks*

Hsu-Yang Kung, Jing-Shiuan Hua and Chaur-Tzuhn Chen
Department of Management Information Systems
+Department of Forestry
National Pingtung University of Science and Technology
Pingtung, 912 Taiwan
E-mail: {kung; m9356014; cct}@mail.npust.edu.tw

Taiwan faces a serious challenge with an increasing frequency of drought in recent years. Therefore, it is important to utilize the state-of-the-art sensing and communication technologies to monitor and forecast effectively the drought, and then notify the relevant departments for taking preventive measures against this natural disaster. This paper proposed and developed a Drought Forecast and Alert System (DFAS), which is a 4-tier system framework composed of Mobile Users (MUs), Ecology Monitoring Sensors (EMSs), Integrated Service Server (ISS), and Intelligent Drought Decision System (ID2S). DFAS combines the wireless sensor networks, embedded multimedia communications and neural network decision technologies to effectively achieve the forecast and alert of the drought. DFAS analyzes the drought level of 7th day via the proposed drought forecast model derived from the Back-Propagation Network algorithm. The drought inference factors are the 30-day accumulated rainfall, daily mean temperature, and the soil moisture to improve the accuracy of forecasting drought. These inference factors are detected, collected and transmitted in real-time via the Mote sensors and mobile networks. Once a region with possible drought hazard is identified, DFAS sends altering messages to users appliances. System implementation results reveal that DFAS provide the drought specialists and users with complete environment sensing data and images. DFAS makes it possible for the relevant personnel to take preventive measures, e.g., the adjustment of agricultural water, for a reduced loss.

Keywords: wireless sensor networks, decision and support mechanisms, back-propagation network, embedded multimedia communication, drought disaster

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Received October 3, 2005; accepted April 11, 2006.
Communicated by Yau-Hwang Kuo.
* This paper was partially supported by the National Science Council of Taiwan, R.O.C., for financially supporting this research under contract No. NSC 94-2218-E-020-003.